If you consider that there have been an average of 160,000 troops in the Iraq theater of operations during the last 22 months, and a total of 2112 deaths, that gives a firearms death rate of 60 per 100,000.
The death rate in Washington D.C. is 80.6 per 100,000. That means that you are about 25% more likely to be shot and killed in our Nation's Capitol, which has some of the strictest gun control laws in the nation, than you are in Iraq.
The only logical conclusion: We should immediately pull out of Washington D.C
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2 comments:
Hi Deni,
I enjoyed your comment. That only proves what you claim about your self......intelligent. Though i opened this particular blog entry thinking it is linked with Iraq war and you have a position on that but what you said also made sense. Though I am not American but yes you are a very brave and intelligent girl. Keep it up
This misinformation and misuse of statistics has been bouncing around the web for a while now and needs to be clarified. Homicides in DC were 262 in 2002, 248 in 2003 and 198 in 2004. Based on a population of 600,000 that figures out to be 1 per 2,290 residents in 2002 (600,000/262), 1 per 2,419 residents in 2003 and 1 per 3,030 residents in 2004. So far this year through November there are 178 homicides in DC which equates pretty close to 2004.
I'm going to give you a little benefit of the doubt here by saying we've been in Iraq for longer than 22 months. As a matter of fact it's at about 34 months since March 2003.
Now consider that the military population of US forces in Iraq is 160,000 and there have been 2,112 deaths in 34 months as you indicate. That figures out to be an annual average of 745 (2112/34*12). And that corresponds to a death rate of 1 per 214 residents in Iraq (160,000/745). That's significantly different than your figure of 60 based on the misapplication of statistics.
You can't take 160,000 and multiply it by 34 (or even 22) to come up with your figures. It's just not right. You have to figure it's like any city and the overall population is set at a certain amount.
What this all means is you're 14.5 times more likely to die in Iraq than as a resident in Washington DC (3030/214).
Statistics don't lie, but people tend to use them to promote lies.
Lee
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